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Ioan Gamboa — Butterfly Effect. It would prove to be very popular and has been embraced by popular culture ever since. Lorenz was a meteorology professor at MIT. He developed the concept but never actually intended for it to be applied the way it has all too commonly been used. Whilst it sounds a little ridiculous as a concept, it is not meant to be taken literally. To put it another way, small variances in initial conditions can have profound and widely divergent effects on a system. Such chaotic systems are unpredictable by their very nature.
This idea became the basis for a branch of mathematics known as Chaos Theory , which has been applied in countless scenarios since its introduction. This branch of mathematics has come to question some fundamental laws of physics. Particularly those proposed by Sir Isaac Newton about the mechanical and predictable nature of the Universe.
Lorenz was quick to point out one of the main problems we have is the imprecise nature of our measurement devices for things like physical phenomena. All we can ever hope to do, therefore, is make an educated best guess or approximation of events. This is especially true for highly complex systems like weather patterns. Whilst theories in other fields of science, like physics , try to model nature, in real life they are complex systems.
Most things in nature tend to be the result of many interconnected, and interdependent, cause-and-effect relationships. This means they are staggeringly complex and probably impossible to ever resolve adequately in practice. The first thing to understand is that " The Butterfly Effect " is just a metaphor for a field of mathematics called Chaos Theory. Chaos Theory is, in effect, the science of surprises, the nonlinear and the unpredictable. The theory teaches anyone who learns it that we should come to expect the unexpected.
In this sense, it stands in direct contrast with most other fields of science that tend to deal with predictable patterns to provide accurate predictions of things. After all, replicability and reliability of the scientific principle are one of its foundations. Fundamental things like gravity, electricity, and chemical reactions being prime examples. Chaos Theory, in this case, asks us to throw the idea of being able to predict things with any real confidence out of the window - at least for highly complex systems.
It deals with the nonlinear that are, by their very nature, impossible to predict or control with any real certainty. It is simply too impractical to ever know every data point in a system with perfect precision. Plus we cannot go back to the very beginning of time to record and track every data point. We simply can't know everything or even ever hope to. In essence, we can only ever make a best guess approximation of such things. Many natural objects also tend to show the results of the complex interactions that led to their creation.
Things like landscapes, clouds, trees, and river systems exhibit something called fractal properties. Fractals are never-ending patterns that tend to be infinitely complex that also tend to be self-similar at different scales. They are created by repeating a simple process over and over again in a feedback loop.
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